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Daily Archives: August 29, 2022

What if you could time recessions?

Articles & InsightsBy Marius KilianAugust 29, 2022

What if you could time recessions? From 1871 the US market has provided an annualised real return of 6,9% despite the 30 recessions you had to endure. That is the return if you stayed invested through all the ups and downs: buy-and-hold. But we don’t like the downs. Let’s assume you could time recessions We…

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