The End of History Illusion

The End of History Illusion Your values and priorities change over time. When we reflect on our younger selves, we identify how much we have grown and changed over time. When we look ahead, we expect to stay the same. The extent to which we underestimate how much we will change in future has been…

Don’t expect the average

Don’t expect the average How often do you expect to experience your target return in any given year? You probably heard that the stock market generates about 10% annual returns on average. Sounds pretty good, doesn’t it. From 1926 to 2020, the average return for the U.S. stock market was basically 10% per year. That’s…

Chasing the heat gets you burned

Chasing the heat gets you burned Fund flows are explained by short-term recent performance. There is a near perfect correlation between a fund’s recent performance and the flow of assets. A fund with strong recent performance, typically experiences strong inflows. Conversely, when performance was poor it suffers outflows. This is evident in a vast body…

The Great Resignation

The Deeper Meaning and Implications of “The Great Resignation” By November 2021 nearly 5 million Americans had left their jobs. Clearly a broad-based global shift in mindset is underway which has affected how we think about life and what we value. People are questioning fundamental assumptions and they are re-evaluating what truly matters most to…